Cover image for Defense planning in a decade of change : lessons from the base force, bottom-up review, and quadrennial defense review
Defense planning in a decade of change : lessons from the base force, bottom-up review, and quadrennial defense review
Larson, Eric V. (Eric Victor), 1957-
Publication Information:
Santa Monica, CA : Rand, 2001.
Physical Description:
xxxv, 156 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm.
General Note:
"MR-1387-AF"--P. [4] of cover.

"Prepared for the United States Air Force."
Reading Level:
1720 Lexile.
Format :


Call Number
Material Type
Home Location
Item Holds
U153 .L37 2001 Adult Non-Fiction Central Closed Stacks-Non circulating

On Order



The end of the Cold War ushered in an era of profound change in the international arena and hence in the policymaking environment as well. Yet the changes that have characterized the post-Cold War era have often proceeded at different paces and have at times moved in opposing directions, placing unprecedented strain on policymakers seeking to shape a new national security and military strategy. This report describes the challenges policymakers have faced as seen through the lens of the three major force structure reviews that have taken place over the past decade: the 1990 Base Force, the 1993 Bottom-Up Review, and the 1997 Quadrennial Defense Review. The report focuses on the assumptions, decisions, and outcomes associated with these reviews as well as the planning and execution of each. It concludes that all three reviews fell short of fully apprehending the demands of the emerging threat environment, and the budgets that would be needed and afforded, resulting in a growing imbalance between strategy, forces, and resources over the decade. Accordingly, the report recommends that future defense planners adopt an assumption-based approach in which key planning assumptions are continually reassessed with a view toward recognizing--and rapidly responding to--emerging gaps and shortfalls.

Table of Contents

Prefacep. iii
Figuresp. ix
Tablesp. xi
Summaryp. xiii
Acknowledgmentsp. xxxi
Acronymsp. xxxiii
Chapter 1 Introductionp. 1
Chapter 2 The Base Force: from Global Containment to Regional Forward Presencep. 5
Chapter 3 The Bottom-Up Review: Redefining Post-Cold War Strategy and Forcesp. 41
Chapter 4 The 1997 Quadrennial Defense Review: Seeking to Restore Balancep. 83
Chapter 5 Conclusionsp. 121
Appendix: Postscript: from Deficit Politics to the Politics of Surplusp. 127
Bibliographyp. 135
Recommended Readingp. 147