Cover image for Global trends 2005 : an owner's manual for the next decade
Global trends 2005 : an owner's manual for the next decade
Mazarr, Michael J., 1965-
Personal Author:
First edition.
Publication Information:
New York : St. Martin's Press, 1999.
Physical Description:
vi, 330 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm
Format :


Call Number
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CB161 .M387 1999 Adult Non-Fiction Central Closed Stacks

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Mazarr (Director of the New Millennium Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington DC) discusses how rapid advances in science and technology are transfiguring society, particularly in the west and most specifically in the US. He then sifts out six basic trends that he

Author Notes

Michael J. Mazarr is president and chief executive officer of the Henry L. Stimson Center, a nonprofit group located in Washington, D. C. holds BA and MA degrees from Geogretown University and a Ph.D. in public policy from the University of Maryland

Reviews 2

Library Journal Review

Mazarr (North Korea and the Bomb), editor of the Washington Quarterly and director of the New Millennium Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, analyzes six broad areas that will mark significant changes in reshaping the world. Referring to the next decade as a "shift from an industrial age to a knowledge era," he outlines trends that will affect the world with regard to population, biotechnology, the economy, communications, crime, and psychological and moral consequences. Mazarr recommends policies for these new transitions and encapsulates in-depth information in "issue features." Highlighted "surprise scenarios" will not be too surprising, especially for those who keep up with the evening news. For those who do not, this is an enlightening and worthy work. Highly recommended for upper-level academic libraries.√ĄBellinda Wise, Nassau Community Coll. Lib., Garden City, NY (c) Copyright 2010. Library Journals LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Media Source, Inc. No redistribution permitted.

Choice Review

We are living through a period of rapid change--a transformation from an industrial to an information society--according to Mazarr (director, New Millennium Project, Center for Strategic and International Studies). He asserts that those who understand and appreciate the transformation will find exceptional opportunities to profit and grow with the dynamic changes in the economy and in society. Mazarr's approach is to identify significant current and emerging trends that will likely continue, extrapolate them into the future, and explore their effects on life in the next decade. Overall he is cautiously optimistic about the future, although he notes potential problems likely to present challenges, e.g., growing and persistent unemployment and a dramatic increase in crime. His book is a carefully researched and fascinating look at changes in the ways people are most likely to earn and spend their incomes. Supported by charts, tables, sidebars, and notes. Of interest to a wide spectrum of readers, from students, administrators, and planners to all those concerned with the future. Public, academic, and professional collections. W. C. Struning; Seton Hall University

Table of Contents

Acknowledgmentsp. v
Introduction: A Transformation of Human Societyp. 1
Trend 1 The Foundationsp. 25
1. A Story of Two Worldsp. 29
2. A Price Spike Economyp. 49
3. A Foundation of Human Perception: Culturep. 65
Trend 2 The Engines of Historyp. 71
4. The Engines: Science and Technologyp. 73
5. The Engines: Social and Psychologicalp. 85
6. Chaos and Complexity Theoryp. 93
7. Where Are They Taking Us?p. 99
Trend 3 A Human Resources Economyp. 115
8. A New Kind of Economyp. 117
9. The Reorganization of Workp. 123
10. Other Aspects of the New Economyp. 133
11. Conflict in the Knowledge Erap. 151
Trend 4 An Era of Global Tribesp. 157
12. The Process of Globalizationp. 159
13. Tribalism, Fragmentation, and Pluralismp. 175
14. Tribalism within Globalismp. 187
Trend 5 A Transformation of Authorityp. 195
15. Phase One: The Decline of Hierarchical Authoritiesp. 197
16. Implications: Social Instability and a Political Crisisp. 213
17. Phase Two: The Rise of New Authoritiesp. 217
Trend 6 A Test of Human Psychologyp. 237
18. "In Over Our Heads": Postmodern Life and Human Psychologyp. 239
19. A Habit of Alienationp. 249
20. The "Pessimism Syndrome"p. 261
Conclusion Toward a New Societyp. 279
21. A New Kind of Societyp. 283
22. The Authors of Our Own Destinyp. 295
Notesp. 297
Indexp. 323