Cover image for Changes ahead : future directions for the U.S. overseas military presence
Changes ahead : future directions for the U.S. overseas military presence
Kugler, Richard L.
Personal Author:
Publication Information:
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1998.
Physical Description:
xxvii, 174 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
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UA23 .K7893 1998 Adult Non-Fiction Central Closed Stacks-Non circulating

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U.S. military forces stationed abroad play vital roles. This study offers eight options that can be used to help guide thinking and planning for the coming era of change.

Table of Contents

Prefacep. iii
Figuresp. ix
Tablesp. xi
Summaryp. xiii
Acknowledgmentsp. xxiii
Abbreviationsp. xxv
Chapter 1 Introductionp. 1
Contemplating the Futurep. 2
Organizationp. 5
Chapter 2 Current U.S. Overseas Presencep. 7
The Current Overseas Presence: Resources and Assetsp. 8
Overseas Presence as Part of U.S. Defense Strategyp. 10
Reasons for Overseas Presencep. 12
Composition of Overseas Presencep. 12
Evaluating the Current Overseas Presence:p. 15
Strategic Considerationsp. 15
Theater-by-Theater Appraisalp. 18
Military Considerationsp. 22
Major Theater War Defense in the Persian Gulf and Koreap. 26
Summaryp. 34
Chapter 3 The Impact of Future International Conditions on the U.S. Overseas Presencep. 37
Toward a Future of Dynamic Change and Uncertaintyp. 37
The Contributions of Complexity Theory to Understanding International Changep. 39
Preventing Descents to Permit Progressp. 46
Summaryp. 56
Chapter 4 New Purposes and Geography for U.S. Overseas Presencep. 59
Toward a New Strategic Planning Frameworkp. 61
New Strategic Objectivesp. 66
New Strategy Preceptsp. 68
New Military Missionsp. 72
Toward a New Design Conceptp. 75
Future Strategic Directions in Each Regionp. 78
Europep. 78
Persian Gulfp. 81
Asiap. 82
The Role of Allies and Coalition Partners in Power Projectionp. 84
Summaryp. 93
Chapter 5 Toward Different and Better Forcesp. 95
The Importance of "Being There" with Combat Forcesp. 96
Future Force-Sizing Principlesp. 101
Possible Portfolio Posture and a Changing Mixp. 109
Toward Higher-Quality, Reengineered Forcesp. 119
Impact of RMAp. 120
Implications for Overseas Presencep. 123
Military Infrastructure for Outlying Areasp. 126
Importance of New Reception Facilities and Basesp. 127
An Innovative Idea: New USAF Deployment Basesp. 132
Summaryp. 136
Chapter 6 Options for future U.S. Overseas Presencep. 139
A Spectrum of Optionsp. 139
Option 1 Continuity Posturep. 142
Option 2 Evolutionary Posturep. 146
Option 3 Reengineered Posturep. 149
Option 4 Rotational Posturep. 154
Option 5 Gulf-Heavy Posturep. 158
Option 6 Asia-Heavy Posturep. 159
Option 7 Global Threat Posturep. 161
Option 8 Stable World Posturep. 163
Implications for the Department of Defensep. 164
Implications for the Air Forcep. 167
Summaryp. 168
Chapter 7 Conclusionsp. 171
Referencesp. 173