Cover image for To find, and not to yield : how advances in information and firepower can transform theater warfare
To find, and not to yield : how advances in information and firepower can transform theater warfare
Ochmanek, David A.
Publication Information:
Santa Monica, CA : Rand, 1998.
Physical Description:
xxii, 105 pages : illustrations, maps ; 23 cm
General Note:
"Prepared for the United States Air Force by Rand's Project Air Force."

"Sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F49642-96-C-0001"--P. [2] of cover.
Added Author:
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U153 .W56 1998 Adult Non-Fiction Central Closed Stacks-Non circulating

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Absent significant changes in U.S. defense investment priorities, American forces could soon find themselves unable to cope with some emerging challenges in large-scale power projection operations. Specifically, U.S. forces will need better capabilities to secure a foothold in distant theaters, to defeat weapons of mass destruction and their delivery vehicles, to gain control of operations in the air, and to locate and destroy invading ground forces. New surveillance sensors, information processing capabilities, communication systems, and guided munitions are enabling operational concepts that can allow U.S. forces to meet emerging challenges and, indeed, to adopt new approaches to warfare. The authors assess quantitatively the capabilities of U.S. forces in the context of a generic scenario depicting a large-scale war in the next decade. From this, they identify priorities for modernizing U.S. forces. They argue that modernization dollars should be focused on forces and enabling capabilities that allow for decisive operations early in a conflict. If necessary, funds for such enhancements can come from modest reductions in forces that are slower to deploy.

Table of Contents

Prefacep. v
Figuresp. xi
Tablesp. xv
Summaryp. xvii
Acknowledgmentsp. xxi
Chapter 1 Introduction: Defense Planning for the 21st Centuryp. 1
Approach and Overviewp. 3
Chapter 2 Scenarios for Evaluating Future Needs and Capabilitiesp. 5
A Generic Scenario for Force Planningp. 9
Chapter 3 Competing Approaches to Theater Warfarep. 13
Chapter 4 Assessing Future U.S. Capabilities for the Halt Phasep. 23
Employing the Force: First Enable, Then Destroyp. 26
Assessing a Single Operational Objective Rather Than a Theater Campaignp. 29
A Simpler Approach to Assessing Modern Firepowerp. 31
Weapons and Sortie Effectivenessp. 36
Results of the Base Casep. 42
Variations of the Base Case: Multiple Axes of Advance and Increased Spacingp. 48
Confronting the Threat of Weapons of Mass Destructionp. 52
Exploring the Contributions of Carrier Aviationp. 55
Preliminary Judgmentsp. 59
A More Likely Opponentp. 60
Conclusion Long-Range Firepower Can Rapidly Attrit Mechanized Forcesp. 64
Chapter 5 Priorities for Modernization: Ensuring a Robust Capability to Halt Invasionsp. 67
Defeating Enemy Aircraftp. 71
Suppressing Surface-to-Air Defensesp. 72
Gaining and Exploiting Informationp. 73
Rapidly Destroying Armorp. 74
Chapter 6 Broader Implications for the Defense Programp. 77
Paying for Needed Enhancementsp. 78
Concluding Observationsp. 85
Appendix Assessment Approach and Methodsp. 87