Cover image for Change and continuity in the 1996 and 1998 elections
Change and continuity in the 1996 and 1998 elections
Abramson, Paul R.
Personal Author:
Publication Information:
Washington, D.C. : CQ Press, 1999.
Physical Description:
xiv, 370 pages : illustrations, maps; 23 cm
Format :


Call Number
Material Type
Home Location
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JK526 1996K Adult Non-Fiction Central Closed Stacks

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The predicted Republican landslide didn't materialize in the 1998 election; nor did the Clinton scandal play a major role in how people voted. Newspapers can tell their readers as much as this, and pundits can guess at the underlying causes. Only Change and Continuity in the 1996 and 1998 Elections employs reliable empirical data to explain why the American people voted as they did.

Employing the National Election Studies survey from the University of Michigan and other reputable polls, the authors analyze:
-- Why voters rejected the Republican scandal agenda
-- What issues were uppermost on voters' minds
-- Which voting groups voted for whom ... and why, and
-- How the 1998 election bodes for the year 2000 presidential election and beyond.

Change and Continuity in the 1996 and 1998 Elections also includes complete analysis of the 1996 elections that brought Clinton to the White House for a second term.

Reviews 1

Choice Review

This volume is the latest in a series of election analyses by three political scientists (Abramson and Rohde from Michigan State, Aldrich from Duke) who provide an encyclopedic analysis of the electorate in the 1996 and 1998 elections. The authors adopt an admirably eclectic approach to voting behavior, relying on social group influences, opinions on issues, and the voters' retrospective judgment as prime factors in explaining the vote. Very few questions about how people decided whether to vote and then which candidates to support go unanswered. A concluding chapter prudently assesses the implications of these elections for the future of the parties. Outside of the areas of voting behavior and the party system, however, the study leaves the reader wanting more. Aside from the well-known incumbent advantages, there is little on campaign finance: virtually nothing on which interests supported which kinds of candidates, Republican congressional leaders' relations with political action committees, how Clinton's fund-raising practices in 1996 became a damaging campaign issue, or subsequent investigations into those practices. Nor is there any material on gubernatorial elections or on implications of the elections for matters outside the party system. Nevertheless, as an overview of voting behavior this book is strongly recommended for upper-division undergraduates and above. H. L. Reiter University of Connecticut